Bet with Freshbet →Lazio play Lecce at home on 21 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Olimpico (Rome). For us, Lazio (69%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Lazio vs Lecce: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Lazio are 1st in the table, on 28 points after 10 matches (9W 1D 0L), and Lecce are 14th, on 9 points (3W 0D 7L).
What to expect
For us, Lazio are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (11.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), and we rate it at 61%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 60% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 60%.
- Out: Lazio 0, Lecce 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, best price 1.63). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Lazio: no absences. Absent for Lecce: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Lazio vs Lecce: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.40 | 5.45 | 8.50 |
| Market average | 1.37 | 5.07 | 7.98 |
| Lowest odds | 1.35 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.60 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.48 | 2.40 | 40.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.52 | 2.43 | 38.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.82 | 51.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.92 | 48.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:12. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Lazio 2–0 Lecce, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lazio 1st (28 points), Lecce 14th (9 points).
- Absences: Lazio 0, Lecce 0.
Who will win Lazio vs Lecce?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Lazio vs Lecce: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Lazio vs Lecce: team news and absences
Lazio
- No reported absences
Lecce
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Lazio
Home and away
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Lazio vs Lecce?
Lecce +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Lazio vs Lecce?
We estimate: Lazio win 69%, draw 19%, Lecce win 12%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
Who will be missing?
Lazio: no absences. Lecce: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.63); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.48).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.85).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (11.4%), then 1–0 (10.1%) and 2–1 (9.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.