Bet with Freshbet →Liverpool v Manchester United: 22 November 2026 · 16:30 at Anfield (Liverpool). We have Liverpool (52%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Liverpool vs Manchester United: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Liverpool are 5th in the table, on 15 points after 9 matches (4W 3D 2L), and Manchester United are 17th, on 7 points (1W 4D 4L).
What to expect
For us, Liverpool are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: Liverpool 0, Manchester United 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.65). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Liverpool: no absences. Absent for Manchester United: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Liverpool vs Manchester United: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.86 | 4.20 | 4.33 |
| Market average | 1.81 | 3.89 | 4.03 |
| Lowest odds | 1.73 | 3.50 | 3.47 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.17 | 79.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.63 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.29 | 41.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.47 | 38.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.58 | 58.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.35 | 2.26 | 41.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:43. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Liverpool 1–1 Manchester United, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Liverpool 5th (15 points), Manchester United 17th (7 points).
- Absences: Liverpool 0, Manchester United 0.
Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester United?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Liverpool vs Manchester United: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Liverpool vs Manchester United: team news and absences
Liverpool
- No reported absences
Manchester United
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Liverpool
Home and away
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Liverpool vs Manchester United?
Manchester United +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 3.5 goals (1.56).
Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester United?
We estimate: Liverpool win 52%, draw 24%, Manchester United win 24%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 November 2026, kick-off: 16:30, venue: Anfield, Liverpool.
Who will be missing?
Liverpool: no absences. Manchester United: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.67); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.65).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.5%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.