Bet with Freshbet →Atalanta v Inter: 22 November 2026 · 19:45 at New Balance Arena (Bergamo). We have Inter (58%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Atalanta vs Inter: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Atalanta are 13th in the table, on 11 points after 10 matches (3W 2D 5L), and Inter are 2nd, on 25 points (8W 1D 1L).
What to expect
For us, Inter are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–2 (9.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.91), and we rate it at 52%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 65% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 68% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 68%.
- Out: Atalanta 0, Inter 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals (probability 48%, best price 2.07). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Atalanta: no absences. Absent for Inter: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Atalanta vs Inter: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 4.75 | 4.68 | 1.70 |
| Market average | 4.60 | 4.47 | 1.66 |
| Lowest odds | 4.50 | 4.20 | 1.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.11 | 84.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.41 | 1.39 | 67.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.05 | 2.94 | 32.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.07 | 1.99 | 48.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.43 | 65.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.72 | 2.66 | 35.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:12. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.5%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Atalanta 1–2 Inter, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Atalanta 13th (11 points), Inter 2nd (25 points).
- Absences: Atalanta 0, Inter 0.
Who will win Atalanta vs Inter?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Atalanta vs Inter: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Atalanta vs Inter: team news and absences
Atalanta
- No reported absences
Inter
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Atalanta vs Inter?
Atalanta +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.58); Under 3.5 goals (1.91).
Who will win Atalanta vs Inter?
We estimate: Atalanta win 21%, draw 21%, Inter win 58%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: New Balance Arena, Bergamo.
Who will be missing?
Atalanta: no absences. Inter: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 68% (odds 1.41); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 32% (odds 3.05).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 65% (odds 1.44).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.5%), then 1–1 (8.6%) and 0–2 (7.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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