Bet with Freshbet →Como v Cagliari: 21 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como). We have Como (71%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Como vs Cagliari: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Como are 4th in the table, on 23 points after 10 matches (7W 2D 1L), and Cagliari are 12th, on 13 points (4W 1D 5L).
What to expect
For us, Como are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (11.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.63), and we rate it at 61%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 50% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 60% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 60%.
- Out: Como 0, Cagliari 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Como: no absences. Absent for Cagliari: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Como vs Cagliari: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.38 | 5.81 | 9.60 |
| Market average | 1.33 | 5.36 | 8.73 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 4.75 | 7.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.56 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.44 | 2.39 | 39.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.52 | 2.47 | 38.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.87 | 50.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.88 | 49.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:12. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Como 2–0 Cagliari, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Como 4th (23 points), Cagliari 12th (13 points).
- Absences: Como 0, Cagliari 0.
Who will win Como vs Cagliari?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Como vs Cagliari: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Como vs Cagliari: team news and absences
Como
- No reported absences
Cagliari
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 |  Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
Recent matches
Como
Home and away
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Como vs Cagliari?
Cagliari +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.96); Under 3.5 goals (1.63).
Who will win Como vs Cagliari?
We estimate: Como win 71%, draw 18%, Cagliari win 11%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 21 November 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como.
Who will be missing?
Como: no absences. Cagliari: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.62); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.44).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 50% (odds 1.91).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (11.9%), then 1–0 (10.4%) and 2–1 (9.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.