Inter vs Como: prediction, tip and odds, 8 November 2026, Serie A

Inter vs Como betting prediction

Our pick for Inter versus Como is Under 3.5 goals at 1.74 (58% chance). The game is held at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan, with the whistle at 17:00 on 8 November 2026 in Serie A Matchweek 11. Inter play at home and are second on 25 points, whereas Como sit fourth with 23.

Two sides on winning runs

Both sides arrive in strong form. Inter have collected four wins from their last five games across every competition, with their only setback a 3-1 reverse at AC Milan on 31 October. Those victories came over Bologna, Shakhtar Donetsk, Fiorentina and Venezia. Como have posted five wins from five, among them a 3-1 success at Torino and a 1-0 triumph over Venezia in front of their own supporters on 1 November. With no poor result anywhere in that spell, we weigh it heavily, though the number of matches is modest.

Only matches from this competition are counted here. Inter have collected eight victories, a lone draw and a single loss, while Como sit on seven wins, two stalemates and one defeat. The standout figure belongs to Inter at home: they have won all five games at the Meazza and netted 17 times there. Como's away form reads four wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat.

Goals scored and the defensive gap

Inter create more with their forwards, having found the net 26 times across their ten fixtures so far in this tournament, an average of 2.6 a game. They have also let in 13. Como's tally stands at 18 scored and eight conceded, so they are giving up 0.8 goals per match. Nothing on either side comes close to that defensive rate, and it is the figure we return to again and again.

Across their most recent five games in every competition, Inter netted nine times and let in five, whereas Como found the net 13 times and conceded just three. Each side managed two clean sheets in that stretch. Inter also found the net in three of those five, and three of those games produced over 2.5 goals. A sample this small deserves caution, though.

Half a dozen head-to-heads, one obvious favourite

Inter have had the upper hand in this fixture. Across the last six meetings they have taken five wins and a draw, while Como have yet to win one, and Inter have netted 15 goals to Como's five. The 3-4 loss Como suffered at Inter's hands on 12 April underlines how quickly these matches can turn, and the goalless draw on 3 March stands as the sole game among the six that finished without a goal.

Nothing on the injury front to factor in

No injuries or suspensions have been flagged for either team ahead of kickoff. Without any fitness concerns to weigh, the picture rests on recent results, head-to-head history and the odds.

What the market expects from the game

Bookmakers put Inter at 53% to win, the draw at 23% and Como at 24%, which implies a 6.3% margin on the result. Their projected goals come to Inter 2 and Como 1, roughly three across the match. Leading exact scorelines are 1-1 at 9.8%, 2-1 at 9.6% and 1-0 at 7.6%. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 63% and under 3.5 at 58%. These figures reflect what the market expects, not a tally of previous results.

Why we are backing the under

Our headline pick is Under 3.5 goals at 1.74. Each side has managed a clean sheet in two of its last five outings, and bookmakers already price the under as the more probable result at 58%. Only a 2-2 finish sinks the ticket; 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0 and 1-2 all land it. With expected goals hovering around three, that covers most realistic scorelines and fits the match well.

We rate Inter to beat Como at 1.83 odds, with an estimated probability of 53%. Recently Inter have collected four wins from their last five outings, dropping just one, and they currently rank higher than Como in the standings. Every one of their five home games in this competition has ended in victory. In head-to-head meetings they have taken five of the last six, and Como have not won any of them. A backing of Inter wins if the score is 2-1, 1-0 or 2-0, and it loses on 1-1, 1-2 or 2-2. The scoreline that would sting most is a 1-1 stalemate.

Other bets we would look at

• Como +2 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.20 (chance 80%). Only a loss by three or more goals sinks this one; if Como fall short by exactly two, the stake comes back. Their meagre eight goals conceded so far in this competition is why we back the cover.
• Inter or draw (1X) at odds 1.28 (chance 76%). It backs Inter without needing them to beat Como.
• Inter +0 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.39 (chance 69%). A win for Inter cashes the bet, a draw gives the stake back, and only a loss costs it.

Our thinking boils down to a handful of straightforward factors. Como's clean-sheet tally and how stingy they have been at the back in this tournament point toward a tight, low-scoring game, while Inter's home form and their history against this opponent make them the side to back for the points. We would avoid the higher goal lines.