Bet with Freshbet →Sassuolo v Genoa: 22 November 2026 · 11:30 at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia). We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Sassuolo vs Genoa: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Sassuolo are 17th in the table, on 8 points after 10 matches (2W 2D 6L), and Genoa are 11th, on 13 points (4W 1D 5L).
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.4%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
What stands out is that the table favours the Genoa, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 50% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 50%.
- Out: Sassuolo 0, Genoa 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 55%, best price 1.70). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Sassuolo: no absences. Absent for Genoa: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Sassuolo vs Genoa: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.48 | 3.60 | 2.99 |
| Market average | 2.44 | 3.44 | 2.89 |
| Lowest odds | 2.41 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.28 | 73.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.91 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.94 | 49.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.32 | 3.24 | 29.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.69 | 55.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.12 | 2.08 | 44.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 03:12. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Sassuolo 1–1 Genoa, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Sassuolo 17th (8 points), Genoa 11th (13 points).
- Absences: Sassuolo 0, Genoa 0.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Genoa?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Sassuolo vs Genoa: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Sassuolo vs Genoa: team news and absences
Sassuolo
- No reported absences
Genoa
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 10 | 9-1-0 | 24:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  Inter | 10 | 8-1-1 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 10 | 7-3-0 | 28:10 | 24 |
| 4 |  Como | 10 | 7-2-1 | 18:8 | 23 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 10 | 6-3-1 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 10 | 6-2-2 | 24:14 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 10 | 5-2-3 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 10 | 4-2-4 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bologna | 10 | 4-2-4 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 10 |  Torino | 10 | 4-1-5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4-1-5 | 10:14 | 13 |
| 12 |  Cagliari | 10 | 4-1-5 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 13 |  Atalanta | 10 | 3-2-5 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 10 | 3-0-7 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 15 |  Parma | 10 | 2-2-6 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 10 | 2-2-6 | 15:23 | 8 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 16:26 | 8 |
| 18 |  Monza | 10 | 2-1-7 | 17:24 | 7 |
| 19 |  Udinese | 10 | 1-2-7 | 11:23 | 5 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 10 | 1-0-9 | 6:20 | 3 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Sassuolo vs Genoa?
Over 2.5 goals (1.99); Sassuolo or draw (1X) (1.45).
Who will win Sassuolo vs Genoa?
We estimate: Sassuolo win 39%, draw 28%, Genoa win 33%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 22 November 2026, kick-off: 11:30, venue: MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia.
Who will be missing?
Sassuolo: no absences. Genoa: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.99); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 50% (odds 2.00).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.70).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.4%), then 1–0 (9.9%) and 0–1 (8.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.