UEFA Nations League: predictions, tips and odds

Here you will find our forecasts for the UEFA Nations League in 2026/27, the international tournament that involves national sides from across the continent. For every upcoming fixture we show our selection, the probability of a home win (1), a draw (X) and an away win (2), plus the highest price we can find among the bookmakers we monitor. Treat these listings as a foundation for your own analysis, not as a fixed prediction of the result.

Our method for building forecasts

We do not set odds ourselves. For each game we collect the prices offered by a number of bookmakers and compare them directly. Every price list includes a margin, which is the profit the bookmaker builds in. We strip out that margin and convert what remains into probabilities. Our selection is the outcome those probabilities back most strongly. We share the figures and the forecasts, yet we do not operate as a bookmaker and we never accept wagers.

Interpreting a selection

Each selection presents three numbers side by side. The chance is the probability we reach after removing the margin. The fair odds equal 1 divided by that chance, which is the price that would correspond exactly to our estimate. The best odds are the top prices available right now among the bookmakers we track. If the best odds exceed the fair odds, the price offers value, since the bookmaker is paying more than the probability alone would warrant.

Each selection also receives a rating. Likely applies to a chance of 60% or higher. Possible applies to a chance from 50% to 60%. Outsider applies to a chance below 50%. These ratings reflect how confident our estimate is and nothing beyond that: an outsider may still win, and a likely selection may fall apart over one goal.

Betting markets covered

We issue selections across several markets, and every match page displays each one with its own chances and odds. For the 1X2, total goals and both-teams-to-score markets, only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time are taken into account, which means extra time and penalties have no effect on how those bets are settled.

1X2

Here you back the home win (1), the draw (X) or the away win (2) at the close of regular time. All three probabilities are shown together, which gives a clearer picture of the match as a whole instead of a single result viewed alone.

Double chance

Double chance lets you cover two of the three outcomes with one selection, for example a home win or a draw. The probability of success rises, but the odds fall, so the question of value depends on the price offered to you.

Asian handicap

An Asian handicap assigns one team an imaginary advantage or disadvantage before the game begins, removing the possibility of a draw. It is well suited to fixtures where one side is clearly superior, since you can wager on the winning margin rather than just the winner.

Total goals

With total goals, you predict whether the number of goals will land above or below a set line. Match pages offer lines at 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5. Only goals scored inside the 90 minutes plus stoppage time count toward the total.

Both teams to score

This yes-or-no market is settled by whether each team finds the net at least once during regular time. The result depends on the threat posed by both attacks and on how consistently each back line holds its structure.

Correct score

Correct score bets require you to name the precise scoreline after 90 minutes. The prices are steep because numerous scorelines are possible, so match pages also highlight the most likely scores, meaning the outcomes the probabilities favour most.

Timing of published forecasts

A selection is published as soon as bookmakers open the market for a fixture, which may be as much as two weeks before the kick-off. Early selections can change, because odds shift as information emerges, line-ups are announced and injuries or suspensions come to light. Check the match page again close to kick-off, since the chances and best odds are updated whenever new prices appear.

Using selections in multiples

Selections can be combined into a single accumulator, yet every added leg raises the risk. Even a series of likely selections can fail when one leg loses, so keep stakes low and never increase them to recover previous losses. Each match page provides a main selection, a secondary selection, the most likely scores, the injury news, recent form and the head-to-head history. Studying these details for every leg is a more reliable check on a multiple than how impressive it appears at first glance.

Gambling responsibly

Only people aged 18 and over may bet. Decide on a spending limit before you start, and regard every stake as money you can afford to lose. If gambling stops being fun, begins to consume too much time or money, or makes you feel uneasy, stop and reach out for free, confidential support from a service in your country that specialises in gambling harm. A forecast does not guarantee a win, and neither a probability nor a selection eliminates the unpredictability inherent in football.

Further resources

For full coverage of the competition, start with the competition overview, which describes how the group phase is arranged into its 14 groups. The standings show each team's position, awarding 3 points for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss. The upcoming matches are listed in the fixtures section, and the completed games appear in the results. Anyone looking for goal scorers should visit the top scorers page. Fans who follow club football across Europe may also want to check the UEFA Champions League, the UEFA Europa League and the UEFA Conference League.